The pro-AGW crowd sounds almost like the homeopaths who state that science hasn’t yet ‘found’ all the mechanisms required to explain how their magic water works.
I heard Greg Craven on a recent Point of Inquiry podcast give a seat-belt analogy about the Catastrophic Climate Change (CCC) hypothesis.
It’s not bad.
He said that we don’t consider the unlikelihood of getting into a violent car accident before we put on a seat belt, we do it just in case. He offers the case that all the dire events predicted by CCC need to be stopped and/or prepared for yeeeears in advance. You can’t just quickly snap your belt on as you fly off the cliff–by then it is probably too late.
Where I disagree with Craven is that I think it’s more like an Insurance Policy, than a seat belt. We can immediately see the practical benefit vs cost ratio involved with a seat belt. It’s a noOoOooo brainer. With insurance, there are several packages to choose from. I can get the works, and protect my car from ZEUS HIMSELF accidentally crushing my car as he epically battles it out with CHRONOS on my city street. It’ll probably cost me half what my car is worth each year, but I’m sure some insurance rep somewhere will agree to that.
I don’t have to pay someone when I put on my seatbelt. It’s free with a huge payoff for use. ZEUS ain’t walkin’ down my street anytime soon, so I doubt I’ll be going for Option Z.
Maybe that’s just it though. Prehaps the problem is that we’re only being offered one package to combat it.
Typically it’s a Carbon Trade market of some sort, such as the controversial and potentially economy crushing “Cap and Trade”. I hear CaT is a pretty expensive insurance policy. Maybe we should just continue with Option A and continue to subsidize GOOD green revolutions in technology, but still allow old ‘steampunk’ technology work until it’s bested. OZ, I feel, suggests that we stop all sinful, dirty, carbon machines immediately and suffer until we find a new grass or sun fed option.
Purveyors of the OZ movement seem to have some extremely urgent data that shows that we are in imminent threat of self destruction.
I would like to see it.
Because, really, if OZ becomes the government, that just means we’re all opting for OZ. There are a lot of issues coming to light lately that seems to indicate that the likelihood of needing OZ is diminishing. Personally, I don’t know what to think as I am still investigating the actual science behind it all.
Lately I just get that feeling that we have a lot yet to learn both about the climate, and those who think they know it.
